For the usage you are, you're gonna is more common. How strong a statement is it? I don't really understand the rubber and glue reference in the idiom:
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Since as we all know glue does stick on.
Confused with is generally used when you fail to distinguish/mistake one for another.
Whatever you say bounces off me and sticks to you. Is the statement natural without adding to. You are is normally contracted to you're in speech, because english doesn't like two vowels without a consonant to separate them, and one of them gets deleted. Note that in some situations, like ebonics, you gonna is considered perfectly natural if not.
On the other hand, confused about is used when confuse. You gonna is not unheard of but it's pretty sloppy.
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